Ian Bremmer, founder of Eurasia Group, joins Scott to break down a world in flux. They discuss the Iran war, the unraveling of U.S. alliances, and why global tensions are rising across the Middle East, Europe, and China. Ian explains what a more fragmented world means for American power and why the global order may be entering a more unstable phase.
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Timestamps
00:00 - In This Episode
00:39 - What’s the current state of play in geopolitics?
03:13 - Why did the UAE leave OPEC?
12:15 - Who has more leverage right now, Washington or Tehran?
16:30 - Has the U.S. backed itself into a corner in this conflict?
22:09 - Can the U.S. feasibly exit without securing free navigation through the Strait of Hormuz?
24:53 - Ad Break
26:22 - What’s the state of play in the Russia-Ukraine war?
30:00 - Does either side have an incentive to end the conflict?
32:54 - What are your thoughts on Viktor Orbán’s defeat?
35:39 - What's your read on China US relations right now?
40:41 - Is economic engagement a better strategy than confrontation with Cuba?
46:39 - Ad Break
49:08 - What’s your take on the state of both parties heading into the midterms?
52:22 - How plausible is a scenario where Taiwan is compromised for personal gain?
55:36 - Could a private deal undermine U.S. military deterrence in Taiwan?
57:40 - Do you see China pursuing a soft takeover of Taiwan over a blockade?
59:28 - Do you see conditions for a blue wave in the U.S. and across the West?
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